Build a testable trading hypothesis
Goal Turn a market observation into a claim that could be disproved. Lesson “This indicator works” is not a useful hypothesis. Describe the behavior, the market conditions where it should oc
A practical path through hypothesis design, data integrity, backtesting, optimization, risk controls, and reproducible Freqtrade research.
Goal Turn a market observation into a claim that could be disproved. Lesson “This indicator works” is not a useful hypothesis. Describe the behavior, the market conditions where it should oc
Goal Know which data a decision can use and identify common integrity failures. Lesson An OHLCV candle summarizes open, high, low, close, and volume over a time interval. A signal calculated
Goal Build a reproducible experiment that makes its assumptions visible. Lesson Write down the date range, market universe, timeframe, exchange, fee assumptions, order model, startup history
Goal Understand why repeated search makes the best historical result look better than it may be. Lesson Every parameter combination is another chance to fit random variation. The winner of a
Goal Separate research evidence from decisions about putting capital at risk. Lesson Return alone hides path and execution risk. Review drawdown, losing streaks, concentration, liquidity, fe
Goal Move from an idea to a documented review without changing the running bot. Lesson Use the experiment record from the knowledge library. Keep candidate code and configs isolated. Run the